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Pricing Gap is the difference between what the same outcome is “priced at” on two different markets. For example: If Kalshi implies 60% and Polymarket implies 52% for the same event, the Pricing Gap is 8 points. That gap can signal a potential edge, because one market may be lagging, less liquid, or reacting slower.

Probability Spread is the difference between the probability on Kalshi and the probability on Polymarket for the same market question. The bigger the spread, the more the two markets disagree, which can highlight a potential opportunity or lag in pricing.

Consensus combines the probabilities from both markets into a single, best guess of the true odds. It helps you quickly see the overall market view while still spotting when one platform is noticeably off from the combined signal.

Convergence tells you whether the two markets are moving toward agreement or drifting further apart over time. If they’re converging, the pricing gap is shrinking, which can suggest one market is catching up to the other.